Thought Experiment

January 10, 2009

For the fun of it, let’s assume we have gone through the next bull market and are about to go into a bear market.  Let’s also assume that I have entered federal politics and as a politician I have to put my investments in a blind trust.  You are responsible for my investments which I have asked you to invest as per my models. Since my US models have the longest history and the greatest number of bear market models, let’s consider only the US models.  You have to decide which model(s) to use for my investments in the upcoming bear market.  How would you allocate the funds?  Would you simply put all the funds into QID since it has the highest CAGR or would you consider other factors?

There isn’t a correct answer of course but it is important to think about the allocation process.

I’ll report back in a day or so with my thoughts.

FJP

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